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The attack on the Al Askariya Mosque is not going to be the last one on the Iraqi Shiites from the Al Qaeda in Iraq. The attack on Karbala today and the attack on the Saudi Oil refinery near Dhahran yesterday are ominous indicators of the shape of things to come even if the radical Maverick cleric Moqtada Al Sadr, still manages to keep his flock of gunmen under control to ensure that Iraq does not fragment and the Shiites can rule the entire country, and not just the southern Shiite rump.

The reason why Iraq is going in slow motion towards a full-fledged civil war was revealed by the statement of a Sunni cleric yesterday. He said "Next time, we Sunnis will be prepared to meet the Shiite attack." Oh, you mean that this time you were not ready and from now on you will stockpile weapons coming from your co-Sunnis in Saudi Arabia, Syria, Jordan. Is that why Sunni clerics joined the Shiite clerics in appealing for calm? So that next time around the Shiite militias that storm the Sunni encalves will be mowed down by machine-gun fire and blown off by grenades and missiles? Just watch out, this will happen sometime soon, when Sadr or Sistani or Hakim or the Imam Ali Shrine are blown up sky high, by another Al Qaeda suicide bomber.

The blown up dome of the Al Askariya Mosque:

In Iraq, today there are three possibilities:

- an Iraq convulsed by violence for years to come;
- a Shiite-dominated Iraq; or
- an Iraq that fragments.

The first possibility could unleash Islamist forces in Saudi Arabia (and also in the Gulf countries, Yemen, Egypt, Libya), inviting greater American involvement for stabilizing the Saudi regime....

Photo credits: healingiraq

_____________________

Turkey would make all out attempts to regain the Vilayet of Mosul which they lost out to the British Mandated and newly created country of Iraq after World War 1.

In response to the Askariya Mosque while Jalal Talebani, the Kurdish President of Iraq has also called for peace between the Shiites and Sunnis of Iraq, he would be keeping an eye on when he needs to retire to Mosul, the future capital of Kurdistan away from the mayhem in a country of which he ironically is the President of.

Iraq would soon see increasingly provocative attacks by the Al Qaeda in Iraq on Shiite sites. Al Qaeda may destroy the Shiite shrines at Karbala and Najaf, as the attack on Karbala has ominously indicated today just a couple of days after the Al Askariya attack. So even if the Shiites keep their cool in spite of the very provocative attack on the Al Askariya, the Al Qaeda will not let them rest till they take on the Sunnis, plunging Iraq in to a civil war.

The Al Qaeda has everything to gain with an Iraq convulsed in to a civil war, as that would prove the American liberation to have been a dismal failure. But more importantly, the Al Qaeda would keep getting recruits from the Sunnis across the Islamic crescent through Iraq being kept on the boil. That is why Al Zarqawi, the Al Qaeda thug in Iraq has pledged to wipe off all Shiites. It is going to be a difficult time for Shiites, as he would keep pinching the Shiite bottom, till they blow off their top – finally but reluctantly!

And so Iraq would eventually be divided between the rebellious Sunni triangle of Iraq, an area that will fall under the influence of the Syrians; and its increasingly turbulent Shiite south, an area that will be used by the Iranians to keep Iraq on the boil to stave off American action against Iran; and also the relatively stable Kurdish north, the area coveted by the Turks.

If you're a Kurdish leader in northern Iraq watching the mess unfolding in the rest of the country, the questions increasingly running through your mind would be: How long before we Kurds give up on a united Iraq and choose independence?

Why would the Kurds want to stay part of Iraq and risk being drawn into the out-of-control maelstrom overtaking the rest of the country?

And if Kurds break away from Iraq, that would enrage Turkey, which fears that an independent Iraqi Kurdish state would attract its own 12 million to 14 million Kurds. Iraq's fragmentation also would prove that Washington's vision of a united and democratic Iraq was a pipe dream. A restive Turkish Kurdistan, could strengthen Islamist forces in Turkey, destabilizing Turkish Democracy and weakening the secular traditions of Kemal Ataturk, pulling Turkey even further from the possibility of EU membership, giving rise to the demand for an Islamist Turkey, if not, hopefully, for a revival of the Khilafat (Caliphate) abolished by Kemal Ataturk in 1920. A Turkish civil war on the lines of what happened in Algeria cannot be ruled out entirely.

Coming back to Iraq, for the Kurds of Iraq, after decades of torture, mass executions, forced relocation and chemical attacks by Saddam Hussein's monstrous regime, the Kurds today have a chance to chart their destiny. So far, they have followed the American script. But today there are three possibilities:

- an Iraq convulsed by violence for years to come;
- a Shiite-dominated Iraq; or
- an Iraq that fragments.

The first possibility could unleash Islamist forces in Saudi Arabia (and also in the Gulf countries, Yemen, Egypt, Libya), inviting greater American involvement for stabilizing the Saudi regime with limited intervention in Egypt and elsewhere.

The second possibility of a Shiite-dominated Iraq, would strengthen Iran, inviting an American pre-emptive strike on Iran by the Fall of this year leading to further convulsions in the wider Islamic world, especially in Pakistan.

The third possibility of an Iraq that fragments, is equally perilous, since it would destabilize Turkey. The increasing upheaval we see today makes it increasingly necessary to contemplate all the three possibilities; all of which translate to one eventuality – a Middle East in ferment. And to be buried in this chaos will be the rubble of our blueprint for a democratic Iraq that was to transform the Middle East's landscape into a benign zone of Jeffersonian democracy.

What we see in Iraq today is:

Terrorists assassinating Ministers, Parliamentarians and the beginnings of a full scale civil war between the Sunni dominated insurgents and the new Shia and Kurd Iraqi military

What we may see tomorrow could involve"

• Iran sending in insurgents to back Shias
• Saudis, Syrians, Egyptians, Kuwaitis, Palestinians sending in insurgents to back Sunnis
• Saudis and Kuwaitis calling for US action to stop Iran from intensifying the Iraqi civil war
• US using the opportunity and bombs Iranian nuke facilities
• Iran trying to crash missiles into Israel and Europe
• Internal rebellion breaking out in Iran
• US special forces starting to operate inside Iran to topple Mullah regime
• Iranian/Hezbollah forces staging terrorist attacks in Israel and in the West
• US launching an air blitz of Iran followed by a land invasion and setting up a new regime
• Shia-Hezbollah led terror attacking across the West and Israel intensify
• Israel entering Lebanon to wipe out the Hezbollah threat
• Egypt/Syria threatening Israel with serious consequences.
• Terrorist attacks originating from Gaza intensifing in Israel
• Israel warning Syria with military action
• Spectacular mega terror attack in Israel
• Israel declaring Syria to be culpable and launching a swift land and air assault on Syria
• Syria appealing for Arab military action to save itself
• Israel occupying Damascus
• US forces entering Syria from Syrian-Iraqi border in the North, join up with Israeli military
• Mecca, Medina, Mena, Jiddah taken off the map thru IAF (Israel Air Force) nuke strikes
• Upheaval in the entire Arab world
• Jihadis succeed in smuggling nuclear devices in the US and exploding them simultaneously

In this scenario, what may work is far too ruthless to contemplate. This involves that we re-enact what the allies did in Dresden in the closing years of the World War II; but would the Bush administration be ready to go this far? Unless, of course, by then the Jihadis succeed in launching their much vaunted nuclear strike against the West, that they boast will upset the balance of power and re-define the parameters of victory and defeat for them and for the West. A boast yes, but not empty enough to prevent millions of civilian deaths in the West, and devastating enough to enrage the democratic world to carry the war on terror to a successful finish at a cost in terms of human lives that has become unimaginable since the days of Hiroshima.

ElBaredei – the Man to Watch out for!

What does a Citizen do when a convicted murderer gets hold of a dagger?

An obvious answer is that the citizen calls up the Cops to nab the would be murderer. And if the Cop is not around, the citizen gathers fellow citizens and grapples with the murderer before the murderer can do anyone in.

This is precisely the situation on the global arena today. The IAEA has taken a forward step by recommending that the Iranian Mullah regime be referred to the UN Security Council. The only question mark is the role played and to be played by Mohammed ElBaradei.

Mohammed ElBaradei – the Devli’s Advocate

We need to keep a watch on Mohammed ElBaradei. His role in this affair is getting dubious. He has tried to shield Iran from strict action. He has said that the situation is not critical. He has met the Iranian delegation at his home. Why these favors. This brings his role under a cloud.

His acceptance speech at the Noble Peace Prize also underlined that we should avoid using military means to settle nuclear issues.

He is a man to watch as he is proving to be the Devil’s Advocate – literally!

This lecherous murderer Mohammed’s first victims were women. He hated independence for women. Pre-Islamic Arabic women never wore the Hijab (cloak) or Nikab (mask). It was the sick mind of this mass murderer that forced these practices on Muslim ladies and pushed them in to a zenana (Ladies quarters)

Before the idea crosses your mind that we are trying to defame the holy Prophet (sic@#$%^), please realize that we are paying him a tribute with this portrait of his by Abdullah Aziz of http://www.islamcomicbook.com.

Mohammed in real life was far more murderous than this portrait might suggest. He was a pioneer in mass murder, lecherous incest and mind-numbing torture. Hence this relatively ‘humane’ looking portrait of this heinous ghoul Mohammed is in fact our tribute to him.

Read this story

The Mullahs know that their time is running out. Either we go to war against Iran, or Iran will have a democratic revolution by Fall (Autum).

Why?

The mullahs know that if they cave-in to the USA/EU/UN then their tyrannized populace will see them as weak and rise up, and the Mullahs will have a democratic revolution on their hands. If the mullahs don't give in, then the Americans will preemptively attack them (the way we attacked Saddam- only ten times harder). This too will lead to a democratic revolution.

Therefore, we predict that between now and spring of 2006 the Mullahs will greatly increase their support of Neojihadist mayhem in Iraq and Northern Israel - just in order to distract the US from Iran's own deceits on the nuclear front.

All this is not some Beltway Buzz. Condoleezza Rice gave an indication of the US mindset when she replying to a question on how long Washington would wait before deciding to seek tougher action against Iran, Rice said, "I don't want to put a timeline on it, but I think we probably want to make an assessment this summer and see where we are and see how far we've gone."

The Mullahs' filibuster tactics of deception and delay tactics won't work. Bush is not easily deceived; (nor will Mofaz be). Resolute men of deep moral conviction rarely are.

It'll soon be action-time folks. Iran will be the theater. So make your choice, what is the right action on Iran:

- We should attack Iran with missiles now and destroy their nuclear facilities

- We should send in ground troops and depose the Mullah regime

- Safety of American citizens overrides getting an UN resolution allowing us to take out Iran's nuclear facilities

- We should refer Iran to the security council for sanctions before attacking it

- We should use only diplomatic means to tackle Iran

Many are going to scoff at the connection of these disparate attacks over a period of nine months, and the Iranian connection in them. But wait a minute. Have you noted that each of these attacks were preceded by the targeted countries raising the ante against Iran?

7/7 happened with the G8 summit at Gleneagles in Scotland. A week before that the British Foreign Secretary had castigated Iran’s nuclear deception, and this topic was bound to be mentioned, if not highlighted at the G8 summit. Then 7/7 happened, deflecting the focus of terrorism from Iran to the general threat of terrorism. Iran did not come under suspicion, the pointers were towards Al Qaeda, although there is a link now between the Sunni Al Qaeda and Shiite Iran.

The 2nd Bali carnage – An Iranian warning to the Aussies

Australia has been a steadfast backer of the US led War on Terror. It had been hit once before at Bali in 2002, the recent attack on the same location was to remind the Aussies how terror can strike them once again with ease. The Bali attacks had preceded John Howard’s declaration that Australia would stand firmly with the US and UK on Iran. But till then, no one suspected an Iranian hand behind these attacks which were also blamed on the Al Qaeda alone.

Proof that the French smelt the Iranian rat behind the Riots

But then you may ask why France and India were targeted? India has been Iran’s traditional friend, in that club of theirs, which is the non-aligned movement. But then India too voted against Iran in the September 2005 resolution and it paid the price of being attacked during a major Hindu festival in October.

And France of all the countries which played such a destabilizing role during the build up towards the Iraq war to protect its trade ties with Saddam, has been a steadfast opponent of Iran. The riots that shook France in October were a result of the Iranian Intelligence doing its clandestine work.

You may ask what is the basis of pointing a finger at Iran for the riots in France. This is evidenced in the statement by Chirac, that if France is destabilized, then France may attack the adversary – with weapons that may not be conventional!

The Indians too smelt the Iranian Rat behind Delhi Bomb Blasts

And India too which had earlier hosted Khatami in Delhi, cancelled a visit by Ahmedinejad. This was a clear indication that the India’s too smelt a rat about Iran’s involvement in the Delhi attacks. They also cooled off to the pipeline from Yadavaran in Iran – a project that was jingoistically paraded by the Stalinist minister in the Indian cabinet - Mani Iyer.

This worthy was also stripped off his Petroleum portfolio and given one of village development. The other Stalinist minister Natwar Singh was unceremoniously shunted out for his role in the Oil-for-Food scandal. This worthy was also a backer of Iran. Thus the Indians made their suspicion of Iran very obvious.

And now the Iranian connection behind the Cartoon Mayhem

So now what? With the needle of suspicion pointing at Iran, we can be pretty sure that the present rumpus in burning embassies, torching flags and giving death threats to entire nations with the cartoons as an alibi also has an Iranian hand behind it.

The cartoons were published in August, why did the controversy have to erupt only when Iran was about to be referred to the UNSC?

The Iranian Mullahs have proved that they have many aces rolled up their sleeve. We need to cut off the hand over which the sleeve is rolled up.

We need to take drastic measures of REAL Shock and Awe that will see Iranian nuclear installations incinerated whether with Israeli Kfirs or our unmanned drones, F18s or Tomahawks.

In this venture collateral damage is unavoidable. But only resolute action by the allies can make the Iranian people rise up against the decadent but extremely dangerous Nuclear Mullahs of the ace terrorist regime of the world. We need to get moving on Iran before they are in a better position to defend themselves by further dispersing their nuclear facilities, digging deeper underground below mountains, and sharpening their radar and air defense installation either with or without Russian help.

Our enemy has made evident to us the reach they have in the string of terror attack and the ongoing mayhem about the cartoon, we need to move fast and decisively against Iran.

We need to give Iran the Bombs – As Soon As Possible

We need to give Iran the Bomb – As Soon As Possible. No not the ones they’ll manufacture at Natanz or Bushehr, but ones that will reach them thru F16s, Tomahawks or Drones!

Only when we give the Mullahs a bloody nose will they sue for peace or be totally destroyed. But we can tell them that we mean business when we vaporize them and millions of their followers who scream “Death to America” into radioactive dust.

The Mullahs and their followers understand only one language – that of Blood and Death. We shall need to speak to them in that language FAST, if we are to avoid an Iranian Electro-magnetic attack on our Homeland that would put 9/11 in to the shade.